Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.177117 0.199065 0.222052 0.247868 0.275995 0.305654 0.339238
2025-03-02 0.145665 0.175068 0.207448 0.245560 0.288992 0.336747 0.393021
2025-03-09 0.124176 0.158296 0.197538 0.245600 0.302445 0.367102 0.445746
2025-03-16 0.106805 0.143772 0.188009 0.244148 0.312747 0.393083 0.493460
2025-03-23 0.096077 0.135779 0.184986 0.249385 0.330297 0.427404 0.551465
2025-03-30 0.085050 0.126034 0.178575 0.249378 0.340676 0.452748 0.598862
2025-04-06 0.075696 0.117386 0.172573 0.248998 0.349924 0.476383 0.644285
2025-04-13 0.067726 0.109730 0.167058 0.248511 0.358486 0.498901 0.688444
2025-04-20 0.061772 0.104268 0.163934 0.250717 0.370256 0.525466 0.738073
2025-04-27 0.057959 0.101514 0.164239 0.257376 0.387926 0.559918 0.798495
2025-05-04 0.053171 0.096797 0.161294 0.259112 0.398670 0.585236 0.847298
2025-05-11 0.049520 0.093477 0.160071 0.263053 0.412365 0.614620 0.901936
2025-05-18 0.047136 0.092141 0.161934 0.271867 0.433680 0.655572 0.974082
2025-05-25 0.042355 0.086381 0.156600 0.269651 0.439034 0.674658 1.016987
2025-06-01 0.038611 0.081999 0.153064 0.269840 0.447703 0.698396 1.066648
2025-06-08 0.034914 0.077312 0.148665 0.268357 0.453677 0.718307 1.111270
2025-06-15 0.032946 0.075556 0.148903 0.274044 0.470412 0.753790 1.178282
2025-06-22 0.030143 0.071939 0.145740 0.274061 0.478422 0.776772 1.227974
2025-06-29 0.027540 0.068426 0.142477 0.273664 0.485641 0.798616 1.276325
2025-07-06 0.025166 0.065102 0.139286 0.273147 0.492522 0.819975 1.324245
2025-07-13 0.023426 0.062891 0.137906 0.275529 0.503933 0.848185 1.382507
2025-07-20 0.022477 0.062257 0.139340 0.282703 0.523117 0.888349 1.458870
2025-07-27 0.020906 0.060096 0.137772 0.284573 0.533731 0.915724 1.516829